Scouting Football Talent
We’ve discussed in the past the importance of clubs doing their due diligence in making first round selections. As the start of the 2013 NFL Draft fast approaches, organizations are going back over their own evaluation processes to ensure that no “surprise stone” is left unturned. My experience says that most NFL front office decision makers are locked in to their desired selections should the cards fall in their favor. The Football Educator hasn’t done its own NFL Mock Draft because frankly, I don’t believe in them. But I was asked to present my Top 10 picks along with Charley Casserly on the NFL Network’s “Path to the draft”.
If you recall this from Scouting Football Talent – NFL Draft First 5 Facts, it’s worth repeating.
Evaluating a prospect’s on field play goes without saying and many clubs go to extreme lengths to provide multiple opinions (crosschecks). But there are other areas of consideration also helpful in determining the long term potential and overall value of a particular player. Height, weight, arm, and hand measurements separate the elite physical frame from the average. Looking at the overall relevance of a Combine performance can confirm whether or not a player has similar skills to his peer group. Certain selections are more apt to provide a club with a reliable option at the position for years to come. Clubs struggle in statistical areas that traditionally correlate to winning in the National Football League and GM’s look to improve talent levels that will strengthen those stats. Current roster makeup and contractual obligations can either enhance or hinder selecting a specific position.
Here is a list of the second 5 picks in this year’s NFL Draft (the one’s I presented on NFL Network) and some of the sidebars that should be considered in addition to their playmaking abilities.
- Ht 6052 Wt 271 Arm 35 1/8″ Hand 10 ¼”
- 5 of 6 EPA (40 yd, Vertical Jump, Broad Jump, Short Shuttle, 3-Cone)
- Browns 23rd in Total Defense ’12
- Top 10 DE chance of 56 starts in first 5 seasons – 71.4% (36.8% 11-20)
- 25% of 2 Deeps (DE) come from 1st round. Highest source.
- Ht 6060 Wt 303 Arm 35 ¼ Hand 10 1/8
- 6 of 6 EPA (40 yd, Bench, Vertical Jump, Broad Jump, Short Shuttle, 3-Cone)
- Levi Brown (torn triceps ’12/CAP friendly contract), Bobby Massie (rookie struggles – 13 sacks/42 QBH)
- 32nd in NY/A , 32nd in NFL sacks allowed (58)
- Cards starting QB’s 19th in NFL throwing under pressure (33.4% of dropbacks)
- 4 year player/no injuries (Rushing, Receiving, Punt Returner, Kickoff Returner)
- 100+ receptions 2 seasons
- 20% of 2 deep WR’s come from 1st Rd (5th)
- 66.7% selected between (1-10) 56 starts – 5 seasons, #2 position in rookie impact (12%)
- 9th in NCAA Long Plays from Scrimmage (58); 23 of 20+, 20 of 30+, 14 of 40+, 6 of 50+, 3 of 60+, 3 of 70+ (Buffalo 25th NFL in big pass plays 10+)
- Ht 6042 Wt 241 Arm 33 ¾” Hand 9 5/8”
- 4 of 6 EPA (40 yd, Vertical Jump, Broad Jump, 3-Cone)
- 71.4% selected between (1-10) 56 starts – 5 seasons
- 25th NY/A, 25th sacks (30)
- Greg McIntyre (limited production) & Antwan Barnes (UFA/SD – nonstarter/limited production) starters at OLB.
- Ht 6021 Wt 311 Arm 33″ Hand 10 1/4″
- EPA 5.07 40 yd, 35 Bench (2nd & 3rd highest correlation to starting at position in NFL)
- Titans (31st in rushing ’11, 21st in rushing ’12)
- Injuries & performance hampered interior OL play ’12. Titans sign Andy Levitre & /Robert Turner (1 yr) to UFA contracts.
- Head Coach Mike Munchak has drafted offense 1st round first two seasons in Tennessee. Only 1 OL in 16 picks.
So, that’s as close as you’ll get an NFL Mock Draft from The Football Educator. Keep in mind as you watch this year’s selection process that a myriad of different factors go into the decision to add a particular player to an NFL roster . . . not just who the latest mock draft said to pick.